His violent running style and body type bears striking resemblance to Patriots running back Damien Harris. Tier 4: Waiting for Injury - 2015 Rookie Running Back Redraft Rankings. Updated Week 14 fantasy football running back rankings as of December 11th, 2022. The premier pass-catching specialist from Arizona State finished first in his class in receiving yards, No. He was also . Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports By Andrew Erickson Mar 3, 2021 2 running back. player.setup({ The same sentiment can be made for White's 31% dominator rating - that mark would have ranked third-best over the last two seasons. Especially considering his explosive testing numbers were off-the-charts excellent at the combine. So it was largely seen as a platoon . His playing opportunity was sparse in 2021. He is excellent at taking advantage of what is in front of him, but he isn't great at creating yardage for himself. Without Fournette, White would be a top-15 running back in all leagues, with his value higher in PPR. The Michigan product also led his entire class in rushing attempts inside the five yard line (29), which gives him a real shot at carving out a goal-line role in the pros, owns PFF's fifth-highest career rushing grade (92.1) among the incoming rookies but falls flat with total production based on his 16% dominator rating. Additionally, Strong jumped 36 inches in the vertical (71st percentile) and 124 in the broad jump (84th percentile). The senior's 39% missed tackle rate ranked second among the 2022 draft class. He had only eight carries of 20-plus yards in 2021. He split time with Snoop Conner all three years at Mississippi, and that seems like his most realistic role at the next level: an undersized but efficient change-of-pace back at 5-foot-8 and 189 pounds. comes the opportunity to find draft-day bargains. He has nice leg drive, excellent body control, and good balance. He doesn't put up eye-popping numbers as a receiver, but he has shown that he is more than confident and offers more potential in space than some of the other backs that are projecting as pass-catching backs at the next level. During Nick Caserios tenure with the Patriots, Stevan Ridleys 87 carries were the most for any non-first-round rookie running back. Ealy should at least get drafted based on his 94th percentile broad jump. Jerrion Ealy (RB - Ole Miss) Haskins earned a 23% dominator rating, raising his career dominator rating to 20%. He caught 47 balls over four college seasons, so he's approved for use as a receiver. Pete Carroll has a stable of backs including Rashaad Penny, Travis Homer and DeeJay Dallas who all figure to work in at some point despite Walkers Round 2 draft capital. Abram Smith (RB - Baylor) 5. 2021 NFL Draft - Top Rookie Running Back Sleepers - Best RB's You've Never Heard OfThe time to talk about Running back sleepers in the NFL Draft has come. He made the switch back to running back for his senior season and delivered massively with 1,598 rushing yards (fifth) - 1,011 of which came after contact. Zamir White (LV) There's a very good chance he emerges as a flex-worthy back early in the season. Kevin Harris (RB - South Carolina) That outburst represented 87 percent of his total yardage for the season and an outrageous 39 percent of his career production. All three of these backs are players that will have to work to carve out a role with the team that drafts them, but Weber's success largely depends on landing in a favorable situation. Spiller should be a solid producer for the Chargers if given the opportunity although his lack of top-notch speed could keep him from being elite. Additionally, there are several sleepers from the middle rounds that could emerge as key contributors this season. At 5-foot-10 and 215 pounds, he would seem to have the size necessary to handle a significant uptick in touches. He's one of just two draft-eligible running backs that finished top-five in career rushing grade and PFF receiving grade (. During a four-game mid-year stretch, he rushed for 344 yards on 78 carries (4.4), hauling in nine balls on 10 targets. took the title as PFF's highest-graded running back in the FBS (92.0) despite seeing just 100 carries. His leg drive is excellent and he has very good balance through contact, allowing him to consistently pick up yards after contact. He has nifty feet that allow him to make defenders miss in space and has good change of direction abilities, despite his larger frame and lack of top-end athleticism. While sometimes he can get a little too tentative between the tackles, his patience is generally a positive for his game, and it pairs quite well with his plus vision. "floating": {}, White checks off essentially every box you could ask for in a prospect, except for two things: age and expected draft capital. So that's why my first rookie sleeper is Rachaad White - who ranks first in this class in yards per snap (3.33). 7. Last-Minute Fantasy Football Advice for Week 14 (2022), Fantasy Football Week 14 Rankings: Freedman & Fitz (2022), Week 14 Sunday Night Football Showdown DFS Primer (Dolphins at Chargers), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: DK Metcalf, Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris, DeeJay Dallas (2022), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022), NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. The 5-foot-11 and 207-pound back also blazed a 4.37 40-yard dash (95th percentile), tying him with Rutgers' Isiah Pacheco for the fastest running back time. "playlist": "https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/eLrF3y9x", WR - Seattle Seahawks - Picks 229/233. Pierces lackluster dominator rating doesnt capture his coachs potential ineptitude. Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com 4. This sort of thing is actually not all that uncommon at the running back position. 8. All Antonio Gibson did for the WFT last year is handle 300 touches, gain 1,331 total yards and score 10 touchdowns while playing through a stress fracture in his leg. hide 1. Seattle also finished dead-last in targets to the RB position last season, creating serious doubt that Walker will be used in that fashion in any capacity as a rookie. While all the attention in Alabama is focused on Jahmyr Doubbs, McClellan could be a nice sleeper somewhere in the NFL. He never handled more than 123 touches in any of his four years with the Gators, but he appears to be the best bet to lead Houston's backfield. Its time for us to review some of the best Rookie Running Back Sleepers for the NFL Draft at the running back position. Even super late round and undrafted running backs like Jaret Patterson and Chris Evans flashed moments in very limited roles. The fact Pierce never fully took over Floridas backfield does raise red flags. Allgeier credits a lot of his backfield success to his experience playing linebacker, a trait that definitely aided Javonte Williams in his progression as an NFL running back. Even if Walker can carve out a first-year workload similar to that of Chris Carson circa 2020 16.4 touches per game, 56% snaps share when healthy its still going to be a massive uphill battle for him to be a fantasy producer in Year 1. Caserios post-draft press conference cited Pierce as someone that needs to earn a role and be a factor on special teams. Devine Ozigbo seems to be severely underrated by the dynasty community right now. Unlike some of the other backs in this class, Gaskin projects to be able to contribute as both a runner and a receiver. }); With a fresh new crop of rookies comes the opportunity to find draft-day bargains. If he can find playing time somewhere, he could find a productive role next season. With the NFL Combine over and done with, we have a pretty good idea of the landscape of this upcoming draft class. Sadly he bombed his athletic testing and fell in the draft before Atlanta scooped him up. Published: Aug 25, 2017 at 08:27 AM. He's one of just two draft-eligible running backs that finished top-five in career rushing grade and PFF receiving grade (Tyler Allgeier). Simply put: When the guy is on the field, he is accumulating yards at a high rate. Allgeier shined with 4.16 yards after contact, ranking tenth among all FBS running backs with 100 or more carries last season (per PFF). which was no great surprise. So pump the brakes on Pierce RB1 szn ever so slightly. Rookie running back James Cook has immediate sleeper fantasy appeal across all PPR formats based on his second-round draft capital, pass-catching prowess, explosiveness, and offensive. 4.60 40-yard dash (42nd percentile) and sub-65th percentile jumps don't suggest he will be blowing past NFL defenders. My highest-ranked rookie running back is Breece Hall. Robinson might not wow people, but hes s battle-tested and sure-handed depth piece who can take over if Antonio Gibson gets hurt or continues to fumble away opportunities. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. 20 Deep Sleepers at Running Back. Allgeier also displayed an ability to overcome adversity in 2021 after the team lost so many key components - from future New York Jets quarterback. At the rate Pacheco is climbing in the consensus ranks, he may not qualify as a sleeper for long. has been a monster over the past two seasons, ranking first in rushing yards after contact (1,847), second in rushing touchdowns (36), and third in PFF rushing grade (94.8) among FBS players with at least 150 carries. You don't currently have any notifications. Wide receiver Alec Pierce Indianapolis Colts rookie wideout. [Set, hut, hike! var player = jwplayer("player"); Fantasy football gamers seem to be much higher on White's prospects than the real NFL but fear not. His blend of patience and decisiveness to fit the situation is a nice trait that helps him make the most of what his offensive line gives him. Atlanta may lean on this young volume rusher, but its also conceivable that Patterson and Damien Williams eat into the rushing pie enough to render Allgeier an afterthought. He's already 23 years old, and his projected draft capital per Grindingthemocks.com is 105th as the RB7 off the board. And per. In 2020, the Indianapolis Colts signed veteran QB Philip Rivers to run their offense. }); Gainwell produced 544 scrimmage yards, 33 receptions and six scores as a rookie last season, averaging 4.3 yards per carry and 5.4 per touch in a generally promising first year. For starters, he's the Kansas City Chiefs' clear-cut No. Tyler Allgeier wasn't selected until the fifth round of the NFL Draft, but that doesn't mean he won't have legitimate . And don't overlook that Smith can deliver splash plays when he needs to. White checks off essentially every box you could ask for in a prospect, except for two things: age and expected draft capital. If you liked Dameon Pierce before the NFL Draft, then you should be thrilled about his landing spot in Houston. This article specifically targets deep sleeper value (which can be found very late in a fantasy draft). Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? 2022 reveals a new chance with the best possible fit as he lands in Buffalo. Allgeier also displayed an ability to overcome adversity in 2021 after the team lost so many key components - from future New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson to the entire starting offensive line. Since 2020 the 49ers are fifth in neutral rushing rate (47%). The converted receiver saw 153 carries as a running back, finishing with 618 yards and six touchdowns. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Currently a 3rd-round pick in rookie drafts, and with an NFL draft EDP of 167.2, Ford has been steadily gathering steam this offseason. While he didn't test well in the agility drills, he is significantly more elusive than many of the small backs that are ranked ahead of him by the community. With fourth-round draft capital, White is worth taking a shot on in the middle rounds of rookie drafts and later in startups. That's what gives South Dakota State's. He split time with. The Jets selected the Iowa State product at the top of Round 2, signifying his status as the teams locked-in RB1 for the foreseeable future. Isaiah Spiller represents the latest rehash of the Chargers trying to find an appropriate thunder to Austin Ekelers lightning, and I for one think Spiller is already the best bet currently on the roster. (91.6) over the last three seasons, Haskins looked primed to exceed expectations in the NFL. He responded by ranking fourth in missed tackles and eighth in ten plus yard runs last year (per PFF). With Kyle Shanahan's desire to spell McCaffrey often throughout games, Mason 's role should begin to. They force-fed David Johnson and Mark Ingram II among other veterans last season, despite having some younger players they could give reps to. With Justin Jackson still an unsigned free agent, Spiller looks slated for instant impact in Year 1. Thats why Ive embarked on a search for what I like to call , small school and late third round or Day 3 draft picks who could surprise, , Ive identified a handful of running backs who could be this years, One of the biggest indicators that led me to feature both. The former Texas A&M running back has the capacity for three-down spot start duties with an all-encompassing skill set and desirable size 6-feet and 217 pounds. In terms of fantasy, he doesn't have a high upside profile, but he has the build and skill set of a player that could be a part of a committee and could take over a starting role if injuries strike. Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 14 Last night, we saw the official start of the Baker Mayfield era in Los Angeles as he led the Rams to a win against the Raiders after being down 16-3 at the start . Devin Singletary is the feature back for the Bills. The dynasty community tends to have their favorite and least favorite prospects by now, and rookie ADP will change very little between now and the actual NFL Draft. This year, guys like Drake London, Treylon Burks and Breece Hall have become the hottest commodities among the rookie class. The power running back capped off his first year in impressive fashion with back-to-back seasons of 1,000 rushing yards and 100 missed tackles. Mike Weber, while a popular name over the last few years in the draft community, is probably closer to a deep sleeper than a household name at this point. - PFF's highest-graded rusher (74.9) - and at the NFL Combine. His fantasy value could end up being a player like Ito Smith or, if we are being optimistic, Tevin Coleman if put in an ideal situation. Although my one reservation with Pierce is that traditionally New England has been very stingy about featuring rookie running backs historically especially ones drafted late. Keep him in your late-draft plans. NFL rookie sleepers at running back, receiver; Bills' grand plan. We could easily see Mack released as much as we could see Pierce become the teams starting running back. His 3.3 yards per play also ranks second among running backs in his class, which is a great indicator of future success, as I made evident throughout this article. Bucky Brooks. His boom rate - percentage of plays that result in an EPA greater than 1, i.e., a big play for the offense as provided by, Although it's anybody's guess where Smith is selected in the NFL Draft with his expected draft position N/A on, Nobody posted a higher single-season dominator rating than. For any small-school running back to make a living in the NFL, they need to dominate their competition in college. ", fourth round draft capital is not a kiss of death for a running back. His 12% career dominator rating is eerily similar to Trey Sermon (12%) from last season, and Sermon struggled to separate himself from the pack in his rookie campaign. So that's why my first rookie sleeper is Rachaad White - who ranks first in this class in yards per snap (3.33). While Myles Gaskin is by no means an elite athlete, his average testing actually stood out as a positive among a group of backs that had a lot of players fail to make the basic benchmarks that you would expect. Part of that is on Russell Wilsons lack of juice in the screen game, but the offense itself doesnt predicate much RB pass-game usage. , Allgeier also finished first in the class in total percentage of carries hit at or behind the line of scrimmage that resulted in positive EPA (32%) - one percentage point above Dameon Pierce. Top 5 Fantasy Football Rookie Sleepers 2022 5. Fantasy managers have more or less treated the Philadelphia backfield as if it's a one-man show, but Miles Sanders has not actually reached 200 touches in either of the past two seasons. If he can sneak into Round 4 - current EDP at 180th overall - consider me in on Haskins. Case in point: Pierce only had two games with double-digit carries in 2021, both of which came after Mullen was fired toward the end of the season. The team rewarded him by using a Day 2 pick on Robinson, then declaring the formation of a backfield committee. Bo Melton / Dareke Young. The production is incredibly impressive. However, the fact Pierce never fully took over Florida's backfield does raise red flags. However, he took a back seat to ZaQuandre White as a junior with a meager 14% dominator rating. The 5-foot-11, 199-pound running back has more than enough heft to manage a decent workload, especially as a receiver out of the backfield. No first-round running backs doesn't mean the 2022 rookie class of running backs was down, it just indicates the league has smartened on where the position's genuine value is in the draft. Could there be some NFL team needs that are ignored to draft the best players available or even some NFL draft day trades? You shouldn't need an expert to tell you that the final rounds of a fantasy draft can, of course, produce an every-week running back. championship-tilting force in December and January, At the rate Pacheco is climbing in the consensus ranks, he's dealing with a hamstring malfunction, declaring the formation of a backfield committee. His 12% career dominator rating is eerily similar to Trey Sermon (12%) from last season, and Sermon struggled to separate himself from the pack in his rookie campaign. But which rookies are flying under the radar? Tyler Allgeier has been a monster over the past two seasons, ranking first in rushing yards after contact (1,847), second in rushing touchdowns (36), and third in PFF rushing grade (94.8) among FBS players with at least 150 carries. Allgeier is a fifth-round rookie from BYU who rushed for a whopping 1,601 yards and 23 touchdowns last season while catching 28 passes. As a true freshman in 2019, he scored 10 rushing touchdowns and finished 16th in the nation in yards after contact per attempt en route to a 22% dominator rating. It's almost like the guy used to play defense. 1 in yards per route run (2.24), and second in receptions (43). Fantasy Football: Top 5 Rookie Sleepers University Park, PA, USA; Buffalo Bulls running back Jaret Patterson (26) runs with the ball during the second quarter against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Beaver Stadium. , White finished first in total points added per rushing attempt. The high-end production helped the BYU running back post a 28% dominator rating since the start of 2020, capped off by an astounding 36% rating in his final season with the Cougars. He's the priority pick in Houston's backfield, without question. Duke Johnson (80) Johnson was a PPR dream a few short years ago. The 5'11, 212-pound running back broke out against Ole Miss with 19 carries for 84 yards. White's career receiving grade was superior to anybody from last year's class. Strong's "strong" outing will almost certainly boost his draft stock for both the real-life NFL and fantasy rookie drafts. Myles Gaskin has been around for a while. Anybody who won a ring with Jerome Harrison in 2009 or Damien Williams in 2018 understands this basic truth. The Iowa State product totaled over 4,500 yards from scrimmage, 50 touchdowns, and 80 catches over three seasons in the college ranks. Even during his breakout senior season, the 5-foot-10 and 218-pound running back earned just a 22% dominator rating while sharing the backfield alongside fellow draft-eligible running back Malik Davis. His change of direction is just average and seems to have better straight-line speed than lateral agility and explosiveness. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r
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